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Sunday, May 11, 2008
George Will :: Townhall.com Columnist
Testing the Political Climate in a Special Election
by George Will
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SOUTHAVEN, Miss. -- The 1st Congressional District, the northernmost in the most culturally Southern state, has given the nation William Faulkner and Elvis Presley, and next Tuesday will have a special congressional election that will test the Republican hope that Barack Obama and his former pastor can be the basis of a Republican strategy to nationalize congressional races to the disadvantage of Democrats. A Senate seat also could be affected by the cascading consequences of Republican Sen. Trent Lott's December resignation.

Republican Gov. Haley Barbour replaced him with 1st District Rep. Roger Wicker, who this November will be on the ballot seeking election to the remainder of Lott's term. Wicker's opponent is former Gov. Ronnie Musgrove, who has won two statewide elections.

The winner of the Republican nomination to fill Wicker's House seat is Greg Davis, mayor of this town, which is on the far west side of the district, just down Interstate 55 from Memphis. This location is -- read on -- a problem. His Democratic opponent, Travis Childers, a chancery clerk and businessman, is from the district's east side, which is less affluent. In seven elections, Wicker's smallest majority was 63 percent. In 2004, George W. Bush carried the district with 62 percent.

The April 1 primary run-off determined that Davis and Childers will be on the November ballot. But in the April 22 nonpartisan special election to settle who will serve the remaining months of Wicker's term, Childers fell just 410 votes short of 50 percent, which would have given him the seat. Davis received 46 percent.

At the peak of the furor about the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Obama's Web site endorsed Childers. Davis promptly produced an ad featuring Wright in full throat. The ad said:

"When Obama's pastor cursed America, blaming us for 9/11, Childers said nothing. When Obama ridiculed rural folks for clinging to guns and religion, Childers said nothing. Travis Childers. He took Obama's endorsement over our conservative values."

Childers, who is pro-life and pro-gun, told a Memphis television interviewer that "Senator Obama has not endorsed my candidacy. I've not been in contact with his campaign nor has he been in contact with mine." The last two assertions are, Childers insisted in a telephone conversation on Monday, true. But the television interviewer asked him, "Would you accept Obama's endorsement?" Continued...

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About The Author
George F. Will is a 1976 Pulitzer Prize winner whose columns are syndicated in more than 400 magazines and newspapers worldwide.
 
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Subject: Greg Davis

It looks like Greg Davis has what it takes. Now the question is, will both the establishment and the grassroots turn out 120% for him. Seems to me he is a dream come true for Mississippians.

How Many TImes Can the GOP Die?
Supposedly it died in 1964, in 1976, and again in 1992.

Most of the GOP's troubles can be traced back to the President and the RNC. The GOP also got into serious trouble in 1998. In almost every case the Democrats were thier own worst enemy. The Dems are long on cash, but short on ideas. Yes, Obama can give a good speech, but what does he say? Yes, the Congressional Dems are in the ascendent, but Bush still is the target of public's wrath. What did RM Nixon say in 1962 after he lost in California? "They won't have Richard Nixon to kick around anymore." Once Bush leaves office, and Obama takes his place, the spotlight will be on the Dems. They will have to ACT on the economy, Iran,Iraq, Climate Change, inflation,a weak dollar, deficits due to entitlement spending, illegal immigration, and Trade. Who knows what unexpected crisis are just over the horizon. Pelosi will have a near 100 seat lead in the House, and the Dems will have at least a 10 seat lead in the Senate (55-45).Obama will be in the Hot Seat.

There is an old saying, what goes around comes around. In 2 years, Obama may just wish he stayed another term in the Senate. And Hillary, don't forget about Hillary. She may just become the Senate GOP's best friend. She more than anyone will not wish Obama success.
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