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Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Gaza for Obama
Posted by: Mary Katharine Ham at 2:58 PM
Here's the video of the al-Jazeera report as a companion to AC's report:





Tuesday, May 13, 2008
My Theory
Posted by: Amanda Carpenter at 1:57 PM
I don't usually make predictions, but I have a working theory why Hillary is staying in this thing.

I predict Hillary will soon begin making the case her candidacy has excited the Democratic base to register and vote in high numbers. Then, when Obama wins the Democratic nomination, he and all his supporters will  "owe" her. Not necessarily a VP slot, but more likely campaign cash to pay off her $20 million debts.






Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Where's the Bandwagon?
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 12:31 PM

Numbers like these (reported here today in the New York Post) have to be worrying the Obama team:

[A] new poll says 64 percent of Democrats nationwide, want [Hillary] to stay in the race.

Even 42 percent of Obama's supporters in the ABC News/ Washington Post  poll, said they don't want Clinton to throw in the towel. . . . . 

Separate polls released yesterday show Clinton beating Obama in West Virginia, 60 percent to 24 percent, and in Kentucky, 58 percent to 31 percent.

If I were on the Obama campaign, I'd want to know why so many Democrats want Hillary to stay in.  It's one thing if they're just enjoying the excitement and coverage the race is generating -- quite another, however, if they want to keep their options open and not be locked in yet with Barack as their nominee.

As a more general matter, it's worrisome that Hillary Clinton is beating Barack so soundly in West Virginia and Kentucky.  Usually, when it becomes clear that one person is pretty certain to be the eventual winner, that person picks up support and electoral momentum because of a "bandwagon effect" -- most people want to go with a winner.  That's why so few campaigns or candidates are ever willing to admit that anything is less than great . . . they know such an admission can begin (or accelerate) a downard spiral for them.

Given all this, it's hard not to wonder:  Where's Barack's bandwagon, and what does it mean that he doesn't seem to have one?






Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Racism's Wrong; Opposition Is Not
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 11:57 AM
The Washington Post details some ugly racist incidents reportedly being confronted by Obama volunteers (are its journalists suggesting that such invidious reasons explain Barack's forthcoming blow-out defeat in West Virginia?!).

These incidents are deplorable, awful and totally wrong.  Anyone who is refusing to vote for Barack Obama just because he's black is a racist, and should be ashamed.  (And how shocking to learn that this is going on in a Democratic primary . . . haven't we always been instructed that the Democrat Party is the party of the enlightened?!).

There's a lurking danger in these kinds of narratives, as well.  When stories like these go into wide circulation, it's a sure bet that some on the left are going to start asserting -- not that America is a great country with (unfortunately) some racists (all of which is true) -- but that America is a predominantly racist country with some great people (i.e., those who support Barack Obama).  If Barack loses in the fall, the USA will officially be labeled a racist country by many of its left-wing citizens.

Back in the realm of reality, it's the sad truth that there will probably be some people who won't vote for Barack just because of his skin color.  But there will be many, many more who oppose him because of his leftist policies and his radical associations. It's important to distinguish between the two.  And that's not just because it's wrong both to slander all GOP voters by calling them racists and to equate all opposition to Barack with racism per se.  It's also important for the sake of the candidate and the campaign itself that the distinction between policy opponents and invidious-motive opponents be grasped (as I noted here when Hillary Clinton supporters were crying "sexism!").

Finally, I've done my share of phoning and even a little door-to-door stuff in the past.  My candidates happened to be white males, but even then, some of the epithets were pretty ugly.  It would be interesting to know whether any of the people recounting these stories with evident shock and horror are campaign veterans, or first-timers who haven't been exposed to the rough and tumble of grassroots work.  Racist epithets are always unacceptable and wrong, but as campaign veterans can attest, at some point, unfortunately, some people will always resort to the ugliest kind of slurs, whether they're anti-female, anti-minority or anti-gay.




Tuesday, May 13, 2008
TH Exclusive: Interview with Bob Barr
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:45 AM
My interview with Libertarian Presidential candidate Bob Barr is up. 

(Click on the picture to view).

BARR.jpg picture by MattLewis01
(AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)






Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Pawlenty Jokes About Sex Life
Posted by: Amanda Carpenter at 11:00 AM
This sort of talk will definitely hurt Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty chances of getting McCain's VP slot. TMI!





Tuesday, May 13, 2008
"I Wasn't Flummoxed"
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:57 AM
Barack Obama is the least-prepared-to-be-president major presidential candidate in modern times.

The combination of naivete and arrogance in the interview he gave to the Atlantic's Jeffrey Goldberg ought to stop every supporter of Israel in his or her tracks. Obama's "we don’t do nuance well in politics and especially don’t do it well on Middle East policy" is a huge red flare.  There isn't much nuance needed when terrorist organizations on Israel's northern and southern borders are proponents of the destruction of Israel.  "Nuance" when it comes to dealing with terrorists equals appeasement at best, surrender at worst.

John Hinderaker comments here.

Jennifer Rubin comments here and here.




Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Hillary Bleeding Superdelegates
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 10:54 AM
Obama has picked up 4 already today ...




Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Over At Glamour
Posted by: Amanda Carpenter at 9:51 AM
Here's my weekly post on Glamocracy:

I feel violated.

This election season has been racialized, genderized and heck, even agecized so much even I'm offended. That is, offended at the amount of whining going on because someone dare mention something like the "white vote."

Barack Obama is crying foul because John McCain had the audacity to bring up the fact a member of the terrorist group Hamas endorsed Obama. Obama complained McCain was "smearing" him and accused McCain of "losing his bearings" i.e., old man McCain is off his rocker and confusing things.

In layman's terms Obama threw down his "race card" and raised McCain the "age card."

But I don't understand how discussing Hamas is a "distraction" as Obama calls things that highlight his weaknesses. Is terrorism now off-limits because Obama's middle name is Hussein? I'm having a hard time figuring out the obscure political correctness standard on this one.

Obama is countering the so-called slime by dredging up the Keating Five scandal McCain was implicated in. This is what ultimately led McCain to push horrendous campaign finance laws roundly hated by conservatives. Keating Five is "fair game" says Obama.

Obama's right. Keating Five is absolutely fair game. And so is Hamas. Not because of Obama's middle name, either.

These issues aren't "smears." When McCain talks foreign policy, it isn't an attack on Obama's upbringing. The proper response is not calling McCain an old man. This seems obvious. What is ever more obvious is someone's  "cards" are being overplayed. Obama's. And I think it's time for him to fold 'em.







Tuesday, May 13, 2008
McCain, Cap-and-Trade, and the Return of Nuclear Power
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:31 AM
Senator McCain laid out his program for addressing concerns over global warming in a speech in Oregon yesterday. The Oregonian reports on the key differences betwen McCain's plan and Obama's apprach: 

The centerpiece of McCain's approach to slowing global warming is a nationwide "cap-and-trade" system for reducing emissions -- setting an overall pollution limit, then letting individual polluters buy and sell emissions allowances within that limit.

Political minefields

But in delivering his manifesto Monday, he also stepped directly on two of the biggest ideological land mines around global warming reductions. He endorsed nuclear power and proposed to crack down on China and India if they don't adopt similar caps to control their accelerating emissions.

The full McCain speech is here.

Skeptics about any aspect of the global warming debate --the significance of the temperature rise, its origins, or the ability of humans to affect the temperature change-- thus have a choice:  A candidate with a plan that includes a push for nuclear energy and accountability for China and other rapidly industrializing countries, or a candidate who will push an America-first, only, and without nuclear power plan.

McCain has occupied the center on this debate, and the GOP and conservatives should get over it and begin working to keep enough Republican senators in place to assure that President McCain's emphasis on a new generation of nuclear power plants becomes a reality, thus keeping cap-and-trade from becoming a suffocating blanket.

If cap-and-trade leads to the long overdue renaissance of nuclear power plant construction and generation in the U.S., it will have been a very good thing indeed.  The long-term health of a growing American economy requires nuclear power, and McCain's embrace of a renewed renewable energy policy with nuclear power at its center is the carrot that climate change skeptics need to work towards making the legislative scheme work.  If the new law incentivizes nuclear power plant construction and --crucially-- clears regulatory hurdles used by anti-nuke extremists to delay that construction-- the plan could end up with large net energy gains even as it forces down greenhouse gas emissions.






Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Susan B. Anthony List Names Romneyites as Co-Chairs
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:39 AM
Politico's Shenanigans -- with the help of an unnamed conservative source -- takes a shot at Team Romney today:

Conservatives seem to be snickering over the latest Susan B. Anthony List update.  ... SBA’s No. 1 goal is to end abortion in this country.

This is why some find it highly interesting that the two new co-chairs of the SBA List are former Mitt Romney folk: Barbara Comstock and Cesar Conda. (Conda works at Navigators, the baby of GOP Svengali Mike Murphy, while Comstock has her own shop.)

Still, heads are shaking at the news — especially considering Romney’s abortion-rights past. And, even better: SBA is also holding a fundraiser ($500 a head) with who as its highlighted star of the night? Mitt Romney. “Having Romney headline a SBA event doesn’t pass the laugh test in town among real conservatives,” snickered one self-described “real conservative” who went on to ask: “Two senior Romney people in charge of the SBA? Are they trying to kill the institution?”



Tags: Veep Mitt Romney



Monday, May 12, 2008
That Would Be One Interesting Conversation
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 10:27 PM
In last July's YouTube debate, Barack Obama said he would talk without pre-condition to leaders including Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (yes, he did say it, despite the best efforts of the New York Times on Saturday to paper over that fact).

Well, that would be one interesting conversation, judging from an op/ed appearing in today's New York Times.  Edward Luttwak argues that under Muslim law, Barack Obama's conversion to Christianity was apostasy -- and guess what?  A law calling for the death penalty for such apostasy is pending in Iran's parliament.

It should go without saying that this sort of thing constitutes no reason for Americans to vote against Barack -- just as Hillary Clinton's status as a woman (considered second class citizens in many parts of the world) would be no reason to vote against her.   There are plenty of other reasons -- but not these.

Americans shouldn't be bullied by our enemies or terrorists (or anyone else) around the world when it comes to whom we support for president.  Yet this sort of thing is a valuable reminder to Barack that conversation and sweet reason isn't necessarily enough to get the job done with the crazies like Ahmadinejad.  Just as importantly, perhaps it's a warning for Democrats that there are limits to the argument that Americans should look to the opinions of "the rest of the world" when considering whom to elect as president.




Monday, May 12, 2008
Bob Barr Takes a Page From Ron Paul
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 7:30 PM
I interviewed Libertarian presidential candidate Bob Barr this afternoon (video to come).  He made some interesting points, including saying that McCain's nomination as the GOP candidate made his decision to run easy.  His answer to the "spoiler" question was similar to Nader's -- essentially, that if McCain can't win enough votes, he doesn't deserve to be president.  We also had a very interesting debate regarding civil rights versus security.

He also told me he was talking with Ron Paul and his staffers, and hoped to replicate some of his success in exciting young people, and in using the internet.

Check out his website -- and stay tuned for the video ...





Monday, May 12, 2008
A Record That's a Crime?
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 7:17 PM
Writing in the Wall Street Journal,  David Schoen (Mark Penn's erstwhile partner) offers Barack some advice on how to navigate "values" issues in the upcoming campaign (just a side note: Why, do you wonder, does it take so much coaching for Democrats to be able to communicate about their "values" in a way that will attract normal voters?).

One of the pieces of advice Schoen offers is as follows:

Mr. Obama must also demonstrate concretely that he is sympathetic to the victims of crime. . .. He needs to make clear, in no uncertain terms, that he understands American concerns about law and order, and that he puts public safety at the top of his priorities. To be sure, there is an increasing role for rehabilitation in the criminal justice system. But Mr. Obama must emphasize first and foremost that he is on the side of law-abiding people.

Well.  Given some of Barack's votes on crime issues, that may be a problem.  Investors Business Daily gives a supremely illuminating list of Barack's law-enforcement priorities on both the state and federal levels.  At the federal level, for example, he wants to "rethink" criminal penalties for marijuana, and re-enfranchise felons.  Hm.

Given his crime record, Barack may have better luck with some of Schoen's other advice . . . like wearing that American flag lapel pin.



 




Monday, May 12, 2008
Source: Huckabee Tops McCain's Veep List
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 7:15 PM
U.S. News & World Report's James Pethokouki  writes:

"Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas and defeated contender for the GOP presidential nomination, is currently at the top of John McCain's short list for a running mate. At least that's the word from a top McCain fundraiser and longtime Republican moneyman who has spoken to McCain's inner circle."

He buttresses this with three arguments for why Huck would be a potentially good veep pick.


Tags: Veep huckabee huck


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