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Thursday, July 06, 2006
Alan Reynolds :: Townhall.com Columnist
No intelligence (still)
by Alan Reynolds
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Some of my favorite conservative commentators appear dismayed that the White House and press paid little attention to news that "Coalition forces have recovered approximately 500 weapons munitions (in Iraq) which contain degraded mustard or sarin nerve agent."

That item came from a one-page memo by John D. Negroponte, director of national intelligence, sent to placate Michigan Rep. Peter Hoekstra, chairman of the House intelligence committee. Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum also got involved. Along with many Republican enthusiasts, they believe the president should stand up and shout: "See, I told you so! Saddam really did have weapons of mass destruction!"

L. Brent Bozell, the persuasive president of the Media Research Center, complained that major newspapers buried this story. Yet the media could not possibly have done that if the administration had trumpeted the news. Bozell suspects that "Team Bush" has been silenced "out of intimidation by the media." Not likely.

First of all, finding those 500 artillery shells was not much of a surprise. My column last November, "No Intelligence," critiqued the 2002 CIA report about WMD in Iraq. Among few concrete facts within that otherwise slippery report, I remarked, was that "Iraq has not accounted for ... about 550 artillery shells filled with mustard agent."

That information came from the vilified U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC). I did not doubt such artillery shells might be left over from the 1991 Iraq War. But, I asked, how anyone could "actually imagine that terrorists could simply ... fire artillery shells from cannons on U.S. streets?"

Heavy artillery shells are battlefield weapons -- not something easily hidden in terrorist suitcases. A 155-millimeter shell is over six inches in diameter and requires a cannon about 10 feet to 12 feet long. A mere tank will not suffice to launch such shells. A 155-millimeter German howitzer weighs 55 tons.

The Negroponte memo concerns "Iraq's filled and unfilled pre-Gulf War chemical munitions." This refers to "sarin- and mustard-filled projectiles," meaning 155-millimeter artillery shells. "While agents degrade over time," the memo continues, "chemical warfare agents remain hazardous and potentially lethal."

Most chemicals are hazardous waste. But "potentially lethal" could mean anything, including swallowing a pound of the stuff. The nerve gas sarin can certainly be lethal if it is fresh and nearby. Sarin was used in a 1995 terrorist attack on the Tokyo subway system that killed 12 and in a 1994 attack that killed seven in Matsumoto, Japan.

Nineteen deaths are as close to "mass destruction" as the world has seen from terrorist use (as opposed to battlefield use) of chemical or biological agents. Yet sarin degrades very quickly. UNMOVIC concluded years ago that it would be "unlikely that (Iraq's sarin-filled munitions) would still be viable today."

What about the heavy artillery shells filled with old "mustard gas" (sulfur mustard)? That is hazardous waste material, to be sure -- anyone who opened those shells without the proper gloves would still be badly blistered. But it is a highly unlikely weapon of mass destruction, particularly in this form at this late date.

In 2000, the Federal Emergency Management Agency reported: "The United States Congress has directed that the U.S. Army destroy certain kinds of chemical weapons stockpiled at eight U.S. Army installations in the continental United States over the next several years. Experts believe the chance of an accident involving these obsolete chemical munitions is remote." The U.S. quietly got rid of its obsolete sulfur mustard by February 2005 without any risk of mass destruction.

Sulfur mustard is commonly called "mustard gas," but it is neither mustard nor a gas. It is liquid at temperatures above 58 degrees Fahrenheit and called "mustard" because of its odor and color. It causes blisters and is potentially harmful to the lungs and eyes (which is why infantry carry gas masks). Continued...

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Subject: Okay, Tana, just like when you...
... previously made this same, lame argument: how about we store these 500 useless and apparently, at least according to you, harmless munitions in your back yard? No muss, no fuss, right?

You libs would achieve some credibility with the peeps if at least some of the time, especially when it's glaringly obvious that you're wrong, you'd at least admit it. It's not that big a deal: "Oops, I made a mistake. My bad." That's all it takes.

Instead, it's always "Yeah, but...blah, blah, blah".

tanabare
Perhaps you would like to present us with some facts on this quote from your poat:
"There is not any evidence that Saddam moved any WMD to Syria."
With ample testimony from Iraqi Generals who supervised the move and gave specifics of how and when it was done, what do you have to refute it?
Because DailyKOS says it didn't happen?
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