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Thursday, January 04, 2007
Alan Reynolds :: Townhall.com Columnist
A 15-year debate on wealth
by Alan Reynolds
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I wrote a Wall Street Journal op-ed in December showing that the top 1 percent did not receive 16.1 percent of personal income in 2004, but just 10.6 percent. Most of the post-1980 increase in that number happened between 1986 and 1988, when tax rates fell. Any apparent rise since then is due to business income shifted from the corporate tax to the individual tax and investment income of middle-income taxpayers shifted from taxable to nontaxable savings.

Two "liberal" blogs went predictably apoplectic, but in ways that had absolutely nothing to do with what I had written. Berkeley professor Brad DeLong initially said there is never any point in paying attention to anything on the Wall Street Journal editorial page. Someone balked at that, so he tried describing two clear, consistent and distinctly separate statements from my article as "three-card monte."

Such amusing irrelevancies led to the usual swapping of links between like-minded cheerleaders at another blog run by Mark Thoma of the University of Oregon. He somehow imagined my article relied mainly on Census Data, and therefore borrowed some curious comments from a New York Times column by Paul Krugman.

Krugman complained that Census estimates are from a "limited sample" (as if IRS estimates are not) and wrote "the questionnaire is 'top-coded': if the individual interviewed has earnings higher than $999,999, those earnings are recorded simply as $999,999." Someone thought those words were mine, and posted an angry but correct rebuttal. Top-coding is almost entirely confined to "public use" files, censored for privacy. Census officials employ internal data with the missing details, including incomes far above $1 million.

In the process of changing the subject -- away from his own error and from everyone's inability to find any fault in my article -- Krugman posted a link back to DeLong's blog. DeLong, in turn, had harvested two "demonstrably false accusations" from the hundreds of articles I have written. One dates back to 1992.

My only "false accusation" since 1992 involved a careless but irrelevant mistake last March, which I acknowledged at the time on DeLong's blog. It concerned a Washington Post column that claimed "the Internal Revenue Service" had reported that the top 10 percent of households earned 44 percent of all pretax income in 2003. The source was a short paper by three statisticians, two of whom -- Michael Strudler and Tom Petska -- work for the IRS. But that does not make it official IRS data.

My column showed that their estimated 44 percent is much higher than any official source. The authors exclude Social Security and other transfer payments from the denominator (total income), then pump up top incomes with such indefensible items as accelerated business deprecation and nontaxable IRA rollovers.

When I described the much smaller estimates of the top 10 percent's income from Census and the Congressional Budget Office, DeLong discovered: "Reynolds is wrong. CBO estimated that for all households the income of the top tenth in 2003 was 37.2 percent. ... Reynolds' 38.3 percent came not from Table 1: All Households, but instead from Table 3: Elderly Households." That is true. I missed that fine print when the spreadsheet popped up on my monitor. Continued...

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Subject: No clue.
The average American has no clue about economincs. Their too busy voting for American Idol.

If they were interested the entire Dem party would be history by now.

Personal injury lawyer on a banana peel?
http://www.givemetheinfo.com/blog/blogger.html

Economists versus academics.
"Doctor" Paul Krugman is NOT an "economist". He's simply a professor at Princeton and a scribbler for the New York Times. Nothing more.

See, "Dr." Krugman (and practically EVERY professor of economics at any university in the US, except maybe for the University of Chicago) are proof positive to the old truism "Those that can, do. Those that can't, teach."

Krugman is an unapologetic Marxist. Never, in the 3000 or so years of trying, have Marxist or Marxist-like economic philosophies ever proved to be anything other that monumental, cataclysmic, and ridiculous failures.

As a tenured professor, Krugman's salary is not dependent upon his EVER being correct about anything. Hence the reason why the only jobs he possibly could hold is as a professor or as an editorial writer at a "newspaper" that is unconcerned with telling the truth (like the New York Times).

Let's put it this way: the only Marxists you'll EVER find on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange are the hairy, bad smelling kooks who got lost on their way to an anti-globalism protest.
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