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Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Lawrence Kudlow :: Townhall.com Columnist
Why Not Optimism?
by Lawrence Kudlow
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Who won Tuesday's presidential debate?


What exactly is wrong with an optimistic president who has confidence in the long-run future of the American economy?

President Bush took this stance in a recent interview with me and at the Economic Club of New York. He told me, “Like any free market, there’s also downturns, and we’re in one. But I am confident in the long-term strength of our economy.”

Optimism, after all, is one of the few levers our chief executive can use every day. By remaining optimistic, Bush is borrowing a page from Ronald Reagan, and rejecting a whole book of malaise from Jimmy Carter.

Bush is dealing with the housing and mortgage credit virus. But he will avoid anything that will doom future economic growth. He wants to stop overzealous regulatory legislation that will turn the U.S. back thirty years. And he won’t bow to tax hikes and trade protectionism. While the rest of the world is embracing free-market American-style capitalism, he won’t lurch left with big-government programs.

Home prices must adjust lower to end the housing downturn. And it’s precisely these lower prices that will allow young families to afford new homes. Prices may fall, but homes don’t go away. Markets, not government, are the best way to sort this out.

Bush gets all this. And yet he’s attacked for his free-market moorings. Liberal columnist Maureen Dowd says he’s “plum loco.” She and Sen. Charles Schumer call him the new Herbert Hoover.

But let’s take a closer look.

It was Hoover who signed the Smoot-Hawley trade-protectionism act and overturned the Coolidge-Mellon tax cuts. These disastrous measures -- along with monetary contraction from a fledgling Federal Reserve -- turned a recession into a depression. FDR didn’t help matters, either. His misbegotten tax hikes on successful earners and businesses, and his alphabet agencies to control the industrial and farming sectors, extended the depression and held unemployment near 20 percent.

Today, it’s the Hill-Bama Democrats who want to raise taxes on successful producers. And they want to turn protectionist by reopening NAFTA and stopping any new open-trade treaties. Schumer himself has spent years bashing China, threatening the nation with huge tariffs if its currency policies don’t conform to demands.

If anyone has resurrected the party of Hoover, it’s today’s Democrats. They’ve adopted pessimism as their national pastime, and want us to believe we’re already in a long and deep recession.

But not so fast.

The growing export sector is showing considerable strength. So are agriculture, energy, industrials, and international infrastructure. The e-forecasting economic service says GDP had a small gain in February and a positive reading of 1.5 percent over the past six months. The economy isn’t collapsing. And while it may be flat, there’s no deep recession. Continued...

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About The Author

Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's Kudlow & Company

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Subject: Locally, an idiot son took over dad's
company. The son was nothing but an eternal optimist, but knew nothing of running a company. He threw money towards his friends and cronies, assured the stockholders that he was fighting some enemy they had yet to see, and the company went into a tailspin.

True story. I'm wondering if Larry O'samma Kudlow (I'm just using his middle name because it scares rednecks) would want to write an upbeat story on how wonderfully optimistic the idiot son was as the place raced like a dart into the ground.

Why does Larry love the worst president in history just because he is an optimist? So any bad president from here on will be judged by his/her optimism? Does this pass for Con logic or what? Oh, and don't forget to praise the next president (a Democrat, of course) if they fight this war and many others, no matter how they drain the economy, because they are the Commander in Chief.

A loan is a loan
bryce, I do see what you are saying. And like I said, I do not study the dry science.

I do not like the economist-guy who says "you can't have everything." I just tune him out. :)

However, there is a large part of the economy that will make those loans to promising first-time homebuyers, and the DOW is pretty high. Isn't it 12,000?

Good time to buy a first house, grow a private health and retirement account, and buy local (USA), since the dollar is short. Heck, if you borrowed while the dollar was strong, and paid off your debts while the dollar was weak, aren't you benefiting?

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