Imagine the progress Franklin D. Roosevelt might have made as
commander-in-chief of American forces during the Second World War if only he
could have had the benefit of advice from James Baker, Lee Hamilton and the
other members of the Iraq Study Group. Today's column applies its
lessons-indeed, whole sections of its text-to that earlier quagmire:
February 25, 1943
Washington, D.C.
Mr. President:
It is an honor and privilege to present you and the Congress with the
attached 79 recommendations which are detailed in the following 50 pages. In
addition you will find a 40-page preface summarizing the state of the
current conflict, plus maps, lists of the experts whose advice contributed
to our disinterested conclusions, and full biographies of the commissioners
who participated in this bipartisan study. (Autographed photographs are
available on request.)
After long and arduous study at a generally safe distance, and by matching
the self-evident with the undeniable, offsetting every platitude with a
generality, and scrupulously avoiding unhelpful and provocative concepts
like honor and victory, we now have reached a carefully balanced bipartisan
consensus sure to give no offense or risk dangerous specifics, to wit:
The situation worldwide is grave and deteriorating. There is no path that
can guarantee success, but the prospects can be improved. During the past
nine months we have considered a full range of approaches for moving
forward. All have flaws. Our recommended course has shortcomings, but we
firmly believe that it includes the best strategies and tactics to
positively influence the outcome.
Despite the greatest mass mobilization in our country's history, the enemy
remains on the offensive and is proceeding to expand its earlier gains. To
quote one of the distinguished historians on our extensive panel of
consultants: "So swift and far-reaching were the Axis victories during the
first six months of 1942 that it seemed the United Nations had lost the
warŠ." -Arthur S. Link, professor of history, Northwestern University, in
his "American Epoch."
Within days of their disastrously effective attack on Pearl Harbor, the
Japanese opened a successful offensive all across the Pacific, and as of
this writing control Hong Kong, Malaya, the Philippines, and a number of
lesser outposts. Guam, Wake Island and Singapore have been overrun. Most of
Burma is lost, and India and Ceylon are threatened. The Japanese navy
largely controls the Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal. Except for a
remnant that has made its way to Australia, the Allied fleet has been
destroyed in the Java Sea campaign.
In view of Japanese dominance in the Pacific theater, it is time to open
negotiations looking to a stable and enduring peace in the Greater East Asia
Co-Prosperity Sphere. The results of Operation TORCH in North Africa have
proved no less disheartening. Despite early progress, the outlook is bleak,
as this week's news from Kasserine Pass illustrates.
With only some exceptions, our allies falter and retreat. In contrast to
early and overly optimistic reports from the boisterous General Geo. S.
Patton, enemy forces under the command of a seasoned and daring strategist,
Field Marshal Erwin J.E. Rommel, aka The Desert Fox, continue to inflict
heavy damage and threaten the progress of our arms.
Appeals to Wilsonian ideals like freedom and self-determination cannot
compete with traditional European and Asiatic modes of thinking that
emphasize nationalism and obedience to a strong leader. We have become
involved in lands whose culture and languages are woefully beyond our
understanding, and with which we have little if anything in common.
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