| With apologies to Walter Winchell
Good morning, Mr. and Mrs. America, and all the ships at sea. Let's go to
press.
The stock market is having a tizzy again, which is halfway between a hissy
and the vapors. It can't decide whether to jump with joy or out the nearest
window . . . It compromises by doing both on alternate days. Happy days may
not be here again, but zany weeks are . . . What an initiation this has been
for the Fed's still new chairman, Ben Bernanke. It's been almost as
upsetting a welcome as the one Allan Greenspan got when he became chairman
just in time for Black Monday in October of 1987. He met the test, and
Chairman Bernanke is staying on top of this buckin' financial bronco, too.
So far.
Of course there's been criticism. And there will be more. As well as praise.
It all depends which source gets quoted in the papers . . . But after
decades in academia, where the viciousness of the politics varies in inverse
ratio to the size of the stakes, the political infighting at the Fed must
strike Professor Bernanke as tepid by comparison.
The Fed's policies won't win universal approval. No economic policy ever
does. Line up all the economists in the world and they still wouldn't reach
a conclusion . . . Some of us old fogeys think the Fed's new chairman is too
soft on inflation - much too soft - and too willing - much too willing - to
bail out the bankers and sub-prime lenders who've made loans they had no
business making. The financiers call it moral hazard . . . Keep bailing out
those lenders and driving the U.S. dollar down, and the Fed is asking for
trouble. The longer the immediate crisis is averted, the greater it'll be
when it does hit. Better a mild downturn now than a dramatic recession later
or, the worst of both worlds: stagflation. One Jimmy Carter was enough.
Some cynics are already calling the increasingly inflated version of the
dollar the bernanke, though American exporters love it. It may not be widely
noticed, but the national deficit, fiscal and trade, continues to drop. A
cheaper dollar lets American goods compete abroad. But how long before we'll
be referring to the dollar the same way we used to talk about the peso or
yen? ("The price is $98.50? How much is that in real money?") The Canadian
looney is now worth more than the U.S. dollar, for goshsakes.
Let this much be said for Chairman Bernanke: He doesn't think his job is to
sit on the sidelines like some mysterious guru and occasionally issue opaque
communiques in some mystic tongue (Greenspanian) as the economy flits
between euphoria and melancholia . . . Instead, the man consults widely (not
just with everybody who's anybody in the Fed but with the cognoscenti on
Wall Street and in academia) and then acts. Even
when he does nothing, Ben Bernanke seems to do it actively.
This new chairman's more transparent approach to the economy may stem from
all those years he's spent on his academic specialty - the country's
financial system and how it's interacted with the economy in general,
especially during the Great Depression. Back then, the two didn't interact
much at all except to collapse in tandem . . . So when a crisis strikes, the
Fed's new chairman can be counted on to do something about it. Whether it's
the right thing, results will tell. But as a general policy, when
everything's coming apart, it's best to do something even if it's wrong. To
do nothing is only to drift mindlessly downstream . . . toward the cataract.
Speaking of disaster, scriptwriters and producers in Hollywood have broken
off their contract talks. A strike is under way, a dire shortage of repartee
impends, a dialogue deficit looms, a verbal crisis threatens . . . Oh where,
oh where, will we snappy talkers get our next one-liners, our instant
cliches, our canned witticisms, our celluloid references, our handy-dandy
substitute for any actual thought? . . . Are we going to have to go back to
old film clips and start sounding like Bogie and Bacall again? . . . Yo!
What we have here is a failure to communicate.
Then we have those conscientious objectors at the State Department who are
balking, noisily, at being sent to Iraq. Hey, you could get killed over
there! Which is a possibility our troops face every day. But the
striped-pants brigade, or at least its more raucous elements, seem to think
they deserve a pass . . . Do you think these characters have ever read the
oath they took? Or noticed they were applying for the foreign
service? . . . Did they think they were signing up only for
posh posts in London and Madrid? Come to think, those locales haven't proved
immune to terror attacks, either.
True conscientious objectors - pacifists on grounds of moral principle - are
allowed an exemption from combat, and should be. But they're not allowed to
pick and choose which of their country's wars they will participate in.
Forget wars of choice; we now have foreign policies of choice . . . What
ever happened to an honorable course like just resigning? But the new breed
of diplomat and dissenter (not necessarily in that order) wants to protest
without risking pay and perks.
Tune in again next week. Till then, this is your devoted correspondent
signing off for Jergen's with lotions of love.
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