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Monday, January 14, 2008
The New Hampshire Blur: What Did It Mean, if Anything?
By Paul Greenberg
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Do you personally know a young voter who has been sucked into Obamamania?


Now that that the smoke has cleared to reveal more smoke, here's what happened on the Democratic side in New Hampshire's presidential primary:

The candidate who's Ready for Change, meaning her chief rival isn't, but who used to be the candidate with the experience to do the job from Day One, has edged out the candidate who's for Change You Can Believe In, meaning his rivals aren't to be believed. He used to be the candidate of Hope, or maybe Audacity, but that was long ago - whole days or even weeks. Which might as well be years at the pace this race for the presidential nomination is going. (Things are moving at avalanche speed this election year, leaving behind similar disorder.)

John Edwards is still in the Democratic mix, just barely, but Joe Biden isn't, but you can bet that somewhere he's talking and talking, talking, talking while among the GOP also-rans, Ron Paul keeps illustrating the persistence of Coin Harvey's wacky economic theories in American history and populism. (Or do I repeat myself?) Not that Mike Huckabee, with his not so Fair Tax, is any sounder when it comes to tax policy. No wonder so many Americans believe in divine Providence; it's pretty clear from our leading politicians that we can't save ourselves.

What was the significance, if any, of this whole New Hampshire blur? I have no idea, and I'm not sure it matters. Because the more things change, the more confusingly the same they remain. To quote the National Review's delightful, insightful, playful, sorrowful Mark Steyn, the Democrats, for all their leaders' endless talk about change, "are the party of stasis: On affirmative action, there can be no change; on abortion absolutism, there can be no change; even on a less cobwebbed shibboleth such as the Iraq War, there can be no change - they've booked the band and caterers for the Big Defeat Parade and no matter what happens on the ground in Baghdad and Anbar they're not going to change their plans."

On to South Carolina! Or maybe Michigan or Nevada, and does it matter? It's going to be a long, long campaign jammed into the few short, short weeks before Super (Duper) Tuesday on February 5. Here's hoping this is the last front-loaded, backfiring, over-before-February-is, just plain awful nominating system the country will tolerate. It pretty well cuts out the whole deliberative process, what there was of it when it came to nominating a president.

One oh-so-deep analysis of Tuesday's results held that Hillary Clinton's tearing up at one point (and who wouldn't cry at what's happened to American politics?) changed the tide in her favor by "humanizing her image." Oh, Lord. What is this - a presidential election or daytime television? And is there a difference any more?

Oh, the injustice of it: Ed Muskie cries in New Hampshire years back and is marked a loser; Hillary Clinton blinks a bit and she's a winner. Talk about sexism, the double standard, and the plain unfairness of it all to the unfair sex. . . . Where's the Equal Rights Amendment when you need it?

This much is clear and satisfying after the vote in New Hampshire if nothing else is: Good ol', fusty ol', tough ol', unsinkable ol' John McCain, pulling an electoral surge of his own, won. The pollsters, at least those who foresaw Barack Obama's fictive landslide, lost. Big. Continued...

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Subject: Mr. Greenberg
You stated "What is this - a presidential election or daytime television" I assume you meant SOAP OPERA? Because that's what I'm seeing.

NH meant nothing
Clinton won on the Democrat side by importing fraudulent votes from Massachusetts. This can only happen in a small state that borders a Clinton stronghold at great monetary expense to her campaign. She's not going to be able to bus enough voters from New England to places like SC, TX, FL, and the rest of the red states on super Tuesday to repeat this mirage.

On the Republican side McCain won by getting votes from liberals who know there's no difference between Clinton and Obama, plus independents and moderates, and what passes for Republicans in New England (Think Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Lincoln Chaffee, Arlen Specter, and David Bloomberg here. Hell, by these standards Giuliani is a conservative in comparison).

Even given the liberal bent of NH Republicans McCain was still outpolled by Romney among party regulars.

True Republicans have yet to vote in anything resembling significant numbers. No 'analysis' on the Republican side is worth a damn until they do. And it's not going to happen in Michigan tomorrow either.
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