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Thursday, February 14, 2008
Salena Zito :: Townhall.com Columnist
Good News For Hillary In Pennsylvania & Ohio
by Salena Zito
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PITTSBURGH Pa - Barack Obama faces an uphill climb to defeat Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania and Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted in the state last week.

Clinton leads Obama 52 percent to 36 percent among likely Democratic voters in Pennsylvania. Ohio's numbers are similar with Clinton at 55 percent to Obama's 34 percent.

It should be noted that the poll was taken before Obama’s stunning wins this week in Virginia, Maryland and Washington, D.C., where an erosion of the Clinton constituency began to take hold.

“Whether the demographic gains that Obama made with whites in the Potomac Primary is a pattern remains to be seen” said Mark Siegel a Democratic strategist and former executive director of the Democratic National Committee.

“She did fine among white women, but among white males there was some real attrition, which really accounted for the fact that Obama won 50 percent of the combined white vote there.”

Pennsylvania is one of three "must win" states (Texas and Ohio are the others) that Clinton is counting on to regain her footing in the race for the Democratic nomination.

University of Chicago political science professor John Brehm said that the Democratic demographics in Ohio “are a very heterogeneous bunch ... you have rural folks that make up most of the area of the state, there is the urban black population in the cities and a strong core of blue-collar voters.”

“Not much different than what you find in neighboring Pennsylvania” Brehm said. He also noted that what happened in Missouri on Super Tuesday when Obama pulled out a surprising win after lagging in the polls going into Election Day, may be a predictor for things to come in Ohio.

Ohio holds its primary along with Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont on March 4. Pennsylvania voters will cast their ballots April 22.

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About The Author
Salena Zito is a political analyst, reporter and columnist.
 
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Subject: Voting Blocs
Who assumed that Blacks, Whites, Hispanics, Men, Women, blue collars, white collars, Catholics, Jews, Protestants, etc., vote as blocs. I guess pollsters did in order to simplify their polling and make their polls appeal to biased and stupid people. The pollsters are trying to influence political outcomes. Many people do not tell the truth when they are polled.

Wolfgang
Hillary will lose Ohio and maybe Pennsylvania too. Why? All Obama has to do is bring up NAFTA and all the jobs lost because of it. Under whose administration was NAFTA adopted? Why, Slick Willie's of course. It will be guilt by association. Also, hitting on her reluctance to open her tax returns will play big with the blue collar crowd. It will be so wonderful watching the Wicked Witch's campaign implode!
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