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Monday, June 30, 2008
Dick Morris and  Eileen McGann :: Townhall.com Columnist
After Hillary, Can a Woman Win?
by Dick Morris and Eileen McGann
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Who won Tuesday's presidential debate?


Yes. Certainly. Absolutely. Undoubtedly. She can. In fact, Hillary, even in defeat, demonstrated the viability of a female candidate for president.

Hillary lost because she is Hillary and because she was outsmarted by Obama. She lost despite being a woman, not because of it.

In the early going, before Obama began seriously to challenge her, Hillary was winning easily in all the national polls. There was, indeed, a sense of inevitability to her impending triumph. This consensus was not illusory; it was based on solid polling data and very real advantages she had at the time in funding, name recognition, field organization, and political momentum. Hillary lost because of a myriad of factors, none of which had to do with being female:

1. She unwisely predicated her campaign her experience credentials. In a Democratic primary, particularly with its aversion to the dynastic interchange of Bushes and Clintons, change, not experience was the sine qua non. By stressing experience to an electorate that wanted change, Hillary badly misjudged the mood of the electorate.

2. Obama shrewdly realized that, since he might lose some of the contests in big states like New York and California, he needed to raise his money from sources that would not implode as his chances of victory seemed to ebb. So the Illinois Senator exploited his star power and charisma to raise money online from individual donors contributing small amounts. By the end of the primary season, he had amassed more than one million separate donors. Because of the financial independence this afforded him, Hillary could not score a first round knockout after she won the big Super Tuesday states. Obama survived to win eleven straight caucuses and primaries in mid size states.

3. Hillary focused too much on television advertising to develop a mass voter base in the primaries and not enough on the field organization she needed to get the warm bodies essential to carrying caucuses. By cultivating university students, in particular, Obama was able to beat Hillary in caucus after caucus, eroding the lead her primary victories had given her.

4. Faced with the need to substantiate her claims to experience, Hillary blundered and committed a series of gaffes in which she demonstrably overstated her role in events that ranged from th3e Irish peace process to the economic recovery to the resolution of the Bosnian civil war. Already beset by doubts about her integrity, spawned by two decades of scandal, Hillary’s credibility was shredded by these mistakes.

But, despite these shortcomings, Hillary showed that a woman could draw the votes of downscale, often sexist, white men. In the her late primary victories in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indian, West Virginia, and Kentucky, Hillary won, not only by securing the votes of women of all ages, but by getting the backing of high school educated white men, formerly the toughest nut for a woman candidate to crack. Of course, she was helped along by the racism of many of these voters, catalyzed by the ravings of Reverend Wright. But the fact remains that she won these votes over a male opponent, something women candidates were not supposed to be able to do. Continued...

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About The Author
Morris, a former political adviser to Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) and President Bill Clinton, is the author of Condi vs. Hillary: The Next Great Presidential Race. To get all of Dick Morris’s and Eileen McGann’s columns for free by email, go to www.dickmorris.com
 
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Subject: As far as Hillary goes
Obama knows that Hillary as his VP will almost guarantee him the White HOuse. But, there is only one way that he can choose her: if it is clear to all concerned that it is HIS decision - and that is what is going on now.

He told Hillary if she wanted the VP slot, she had to shut the hell up, which she has uncharacteristically done. So you can bet money on it. Hillary will be his running mate. Obama can't wait to here the cries of ecstacy when he announces her name at the convention.

So where are these conservative women?
Sorry ladies, not with you on this one. Name one woman who has the popularity, the power, and the drive to win a national election?

Women are the majority, they vote in much larger numbers than men, and still...not one single female President ever. What a sham gals. We already know that men HATE taking orders from women, but why is it that females are always their own worst enemy? Are they so used to taking orders from men that they will use ANY excuse to justify their own self-loathing?

Look at Mountain Rose talking about Hillary's voice! Are you kidding me? Her voice! Ridiculous...

From the posts I think many of you are closeted Hillary fans anyway. You just couldn't ever out yourself as someone who admires her strength, determination, and ability to fight dirty like all the other men in Capital Hill. You know you wanted her to take out Obama....admit it.

So for all you mothers out there, when your daughters ask you if they can become President one day, you tell them "no honey, we women vote for the men and make excuses about it later"

Hillary 12!

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