Didn't I just write this post yesterday? Almost, but not quite. That post featured more of a mixed bag for President Biden. The incumbent is leading, tied, or competitive with Donald Trump in several national polls we reviewed, but also trails across the board in a slate of Bloomberg surveys taken across seven battleground states. An additional round of polling has since been released, and it's mostly worrisome news for the Democrats. Let's start with CNN's fresh numbers, which show Biden sagging behind Trump in a head-to-head match-up -- and getting trounced in a hypothetical confrontation with Nikki Haley. This is, needless to say, an uncomfortable position for a sitting president, in what he hopes is his re-election year:
🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL: CNN/SSRS
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 1, 2024
(R) Trump: 49% (+4)
(D) Biden: 45%
.
(R) Haley: 52% (+13)
(D) Biden: 39%
—
FAVS:
Biden: 34-59 (-25)
Trump: 39-55 (-16)
—
Do you think Joe Biden deserves to be re-elected, or not?
YES 36%
NO 64%
—
983 RV | 1/25-30 | ±3.8%https://t.co/PtDnNKPYwG pic.twitter.com/uFKH8KJfki
Biden's personal favorability rating is worse than Trump's in this data set, in which fully 64 percent of respondents say Biden does not 'deserve to be re-elected.' Ouch. Biden's job approval rating in the CNN poll? Thirty-eight percent, which sounds about right, based on other just-released surveys:
📊 Reuters: President Biden Job Approval
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 1, 2024
Approve: 38% [-2]
Disapprove: 57% [+4]
[Change vs December]
• Ipsos - 538 rank: 17 (2.8/3)
• n=1,019 | January 26-28 | ±3.3%https://t.co/QJsV2aA5zb pic.twitter.com/WY65TkKUwr
AP/NORC: President Biden Job Approval
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 1, 2024
Approve: 38% [-3]
Disapprove: 61% [+2]
.
The Economy
Approve: 35% [+1]
Disapprove: 64% [-1]
.
Description of the economy
Net good: 35% [+5]
Net bad: 65% [-4]
[Change vs December]
—
D43/R37/21 | n=1,152 | 1/25-29https://t.co/cEadhCDfey pic.twitter.com/3iFNVk7lVV
That would be CNN, Reuters, and the Associated Press all finding Biden's job approval at exactly 38 percent -- deep underwater -- in a trio of polls released in the last 24 hours. In the AP survey, Biden's approval on the economy sits at (35/64), nearly identical to the percentages of voters who describe the economy as 'net good' (35 percent) and 'net bad' (65 percent). The silver lining for the Biden camp in those latter numbers is that they represent a nine-point net swing toward 'net good' since late last year, but that also underscores how deeply sour the national mood was. It's slowly improving, at least for now. Meanwhile, at the state level, Fox News is out with two new swing state polls. One shows Wisconsin tied, which is what Wisconsin does. The other shows Trump comfortably ahead in Georgia -- mirroring the Bloomberg margin we highlighted yesterday:
Recommended
Fox News has news polls in Wisconsin and Georgia
— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) February 2, 2024
Wisconsin: tied at 47%
Georgia
Trump: 51%
Biden: 43%https://t.co/oFGDzUyBW3 pic.twitter.com/8pv4t7pBmT
When a more crowded field of third party candidates are introduced, Trump's lead is unchanged in Georgia. In Wisconsin, the tie turns into a three-point Trump lead. Perhaps the best news for Bidenworld in the last day or so is a Pennsylvania survey from F&M giving the president a lead of...one point (and expanding with more candidates polled), countering the aforementioned Bloomberg poll showing Trump ahead in the Keystone State by three points. I'll leave you with this, a bizarre continuation of a disturbing, serial lie we've discussed before:
Joe Biden tells the parents of one of the soldiers who died in Syria over the weekend that he lost his son Beau in Iraq.
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) February 1, 2024
His son died of brain cancer five years after returning from Iraq.
pic.twitter.com/iQQ9owIptq
Biden has repeatedly and provably lied about the circumstances surrounding the tragic deaths of immediate family members. He started doing so long before people started seriously questioning his mental acuity.
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